Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.712238 4.439047 5.250272 6.219867 7.344098 8.603356 10.117281
2025-07-13 2.849023 3.830579 5.039279 6.624383 8.633982 11.081265 14.269546
2025-07-20 2.244692 3.330898 4.782084 6.833948 9.626337 13.255194 18.281489
2025-07-27 1.875629 3.028730 4.679365 7.163881 10.746406 15.651394 22.782686
2025-08-03 1.522331 2.659667 4.394633 7.158490 11.355048 17.370799 26.493739
2025-08-10 1.202151 2.266706 3.992643 6.893305 11.514401 18.424275 29.312646
2025-08-17 0.962716 1.952130 3.651126 6.652305 11.649221 19.412803 32.075257
2025-08-24 0.813234 1.762162 3.478500 6.648056 12.134657 20.948782 35.759614
2025-08-31 0.695720 1.606330 3.336454 6.667235 12.644546 22.546203 39.642454
2025-09-07 0.588038 1.446519 3.158948 6.592585 12.973246 23.858882 43.146599
2025-09-14 0.475095 1.250209 2.877719 6.282420 12.841099 24.372377 45.347750
2025-09-21 0.408518 1.141949 2.753647 6.253102 13.208454 25.758639 49.106651
2025-09-28 0.349147 1.039175 2.628198 6.211677 13.562380 27.175154 53.073324
2025-10-05 0.328578 1.028863 2.703219 6.594545 14.777688 30.243440 60.184103
2025-10-12 0.297848 0.984885 2.694632 6.796617 15.650626 32.742794 66.435590
2025-10-19 0.277814 0.965624 2.740617 7.122835 16.804732 35.850473 73.999208
2025-10-26 0.242454 0.893416 2.645692 7.116820 17.261797 37.650200 79.233315
2025-11-02 0.200508 0.789518 2.452046 6.852806 17.136234 38.293938 82.306126
2025-11-09 0.166392 0.700192 2.279413 6.613001 17.033499 38.965309 85.461506
2025-11-16 0.145906 0.650718 2.206233 6.608756 17.456112 40.728858 90.862248
2025-11-23 0.128853 0.608368 2.145575 6.627830 17.932190 42.632670 96.653199
2025-11-30 0.111384 0.558833 2.054444 6.553568 18.178913 44.065246 101.568523
2025-12-07 0.090662 0.488783 1.886249 6.245027 17.826505 44.178815 103.765790